Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

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Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

13%

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

13%

$53m Vol.

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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

54%

Marco Rubio

9%

J.D. Vance

54%

Marco Rubio

9%

$133m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026 card icon

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Los Angeles R

16%

Seattle

13%

Los Angeles R

16%

Seattle

13%

$632m Vol.

Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

3%

January 31, 2026

15%

December 31, 2025

3%

January 31, 2026

15%

$32m Vol.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 23? card icon

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 23?

98%

Up

$57k Vol.

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Elon Musk # tweets December 16 - December 23, 2025? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets December 16 - December 23, 2025?

40-59

<1%

320-339

<1%

40-59

<1%

320-339

<1%

$22m Vol.

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Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

62%

Kevin Warsh

22%

Kevin Hassett

62%

Kevin Warsh

22%

$80m Vol.

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by...? card icon

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by...?

December 23

5%

December 26

22%

December 23

5%

December 26

22%

$250k Vol.

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Epstein client list released in 2025? card icon

Epstein client list released in 2025?

December 31

28%

June 30

43%

December 31

28%

June 30

43%

$1m Vol.

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner card icon

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain

15%

England

13%

Spain

15%

England

13%

$31m Vol.

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025? card icon

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

<7.9B

<1%

8.1 - 8.2B

1%

<7.9B

<1%

8.1 - 8.2B

1%

$1m Vol.

US x Venezuela military engagement by...? card icon

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 23

1%

December 31

8%

December 23

1%

December 31

8%

$42m Vol.

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? card icon

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$1B

90%

>$2B

85%

>$1B

90%

>$2B

85%

$36m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

21%

Pam Bondi

17%

Kristi Noem

21%

Pam Bondi

17%

$447k Vol.

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Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...? card icon

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...?

December 31

34%

January 31

76%

December 31

34%

January 31

76%

$1m Vol.

Bitcoin above ___ on December 23? card icon

Bitcoin above ___ on December 23?

78,000

100%

80,000

100%

78,000

100%

80,000

100%

$3m Vol.

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